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Tommy Paul vs Luca Nardi Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Paul vs Nardi analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Tommy Paul vs Luca Nardi Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Paul has won 54.7% of points on his second serve, while Nardi has won 51.74%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Paul, in recent form, has won 53.11% of his opponent's second serve points, while Nardi has won 52.74%. The same stats for first serve returns are 33.39% and 30.69% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Paul has saved 67.79% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Nardi has saved 61.43% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Paul has won 63.38% of matches played (W/L 45/ 26), with Nardi winning 60.81% (W/L 45/ 29) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Paul has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 119/ 66), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 61% (W/L 22/ 14). Nardi has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 65% (W/L 44/ 24), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 50% (W/L 1/ 1).
  • Player level: In the last year, Paul has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 62.5% of matches (W/L 20/ 12), where as Nardi has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 71.15% of matches (W/L 37/ 15). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 1 times before with Paul winning 1 times. They have played 2 sets in total, with Paul winning 2 and Nardi winning 0. The last match between Paul and Nardi was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 13-03-2024, Fourth, Hard with Tommy Paul getting the victory 6-4 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:20:14.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Paul and Nardi have played a deciding set 0 times, with Paul winning 0 times and Nardi 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Paul winning 0, and Nardi 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Paul has played against opponents with an average rank of 142.79 while Nardi has played against players with an average rank of 272.04.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Paul has won 54% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Nardi has won 67% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Paul has converted 41.45% of breakpoint opportunities, and Nardi has converted 41.2% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Paul 1 - 0 Nardi

Tommy Paul

12

Total

0

Mast

4

Chall

0

Slam

2

Main

6

Minor

16

Rank

12

High

26

Age

R

Plays

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

81

Rank

75

High

20

Age

Plays

Luca Nardi

9

Total

0

Mast

6

Chall

0

Slam

0

Main

3

Minor

1

Total

0

1

Hard

0

0

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W W L L W L W W W

Form

W W W W W W L L W L

64% (402-230)

Career Total W/L

57% (137-102)

72% (18-7)

YTD W/L

61% (17-11)

$5,642,205

Career Prize Money

$326,635

1

YTD Titles

1

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Paul VS Nardi H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Tommy Paul Luca Nardi
All H2H Matches 1 0
Sets Won 2 0
Games Won 12 7
Aces (Total) 5 2
DFs (Total) 0 2
Avg Match Time 1:20:14 1:20:14
1st Serve % 63% (32/51) 60% (40/67)
1st Serve Win% 78% (25/32) 73% (29/40)
2nd Serve Win% 63% (12/19) 41% (11/27)
BPs Won% (Total) 33% (3/9) 0% (0/1)
Return Points W% 40% (27/67) 27% (14/51)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (1/1) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (1/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (1/0)

Paul VS Nardi H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Luca Nardi
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 67)
64
Total Points Won
54

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Tommy Paul Luca Nardi
YTD W/L 72% (18/7) 61% (17/11)
Sets Win/Loss 69% (43/19) 54% (37/31)
Games Win/Loss 56% (322/250) 52% (340/318)
Hard Win/Loss 63% (10/6) 56% (9/7)
Clay Win/Loss 80% (4/1) 73% (8/3)
Indoor Hard W/L 100% (4/0) 0% (0/1)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.45 0.2
Aces Total 126 65
DFs per game 0.15 0.25
DFs Total 43 80
Avg Match Time 1:49:16 1:53:46
Avg Opp Rank 145.8 265.86
1st Serve % 60% (1105/1829) 66% (1393/2113)
1st Serve W% 72% (795/1105) 68% (949/1393)
2nd Serve W% 55% (396/724) 50% (362/720)
BPs Won% Total 41% (80/193) 41% (86/209)
Return Pts W% 41% (774/1881) 39% (842/2139)
Slam W/L 67% (2/1) 50% (1/1)
Masters W/L 73% (8/3) 55% (6/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Main Tour W/L 73% (8/3) 0% (0/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 77% (10/3)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 76% (16/21) 61% (17/28)
Best of 5 Sets W% 67% (2/3) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 50% (3/6) 63% (5/8)
Deciding Set W% 50% (4/8) 75% (9/12)
1st set W, W 84% (19/16) 92% (13/12)
1st set W, L 11% (19/2) 8% (13/1)
1st set L, W 33% (6/2) 33% (15/5)

Tommy Paul Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Daniil Medvedev
67% ( 39 of 58)
1st Serve %
45% ( 19 of 42)
2
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
59% ( 23 of 39)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 11 of 19)
74% ( 14 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 10 of 23)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
40% ( 2 of 5)
36% ( 21 of 58)
Rtn Points Won
50% ( 21 of 42)
58
Total Points Won
42
W
6-1 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Dominik Koepfer
62% ( 33 of 53)
1st Serve %
56% ( 44 of 79)
2
Aces
0
3
Double Faults
4
79% ( 26 of 33)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 28 of 44)
55% ( 11 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
31% ( 11 of 35)
25% ( 4 of 16)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
30% ( 16 of 53)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 40 of 79)
77
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Aslan Karatsev
64% ( 43 of 67)
1st Serve %
60% ( 33 of 55)
3
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
1
67% ( 29 of 43)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 20 of 33)
67% ( 16 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 13 of 22)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 9)
33% ( 22 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 22 of 55)
67
Total Points Won
55
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Francisco Cerundolo
Player
Tommy Paul
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve %
66% ( 63 of 95)
3
Aces
2
5
Double Faults
1
74% ( 50 of 68)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 41 of 63)
46% ( 16 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 14 of 32)
45% ( 5 of 11)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
36% ( 37 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 40 of 95)
106
Total Points Won
92
L
6-7(7) 6-4 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Lukas Klein
56% ( 58 of 104)
1st Serve %
66% ( 58 of 88)
1
Aces
4
1
Double Faults
4
78% ( 45 of 58)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 42 of 58)
59% ( 27 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 8)
31% ( 32 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 33 of 88)
105
Total Points Won
87
W
6-7(5) 6-1 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Martin Damm
Player
Tommy Paul
71% ( 30 of 42)
1st Serve %
59% ( 26 of 44)
10
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
70% ( 21 of 30)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 17 of 26)
58% ( 7 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
67% ( 12 of 18)
0% ( 0 of 5)
Break Points Won
33% ( 1 of 3)
33% ( 14 of 42)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 15 of 44)
43
Total Points Won
43
L
4-6 2-1 ret. H2H
SF
cross
Daniil Medvedev
Player
Tommy Paul
62% ( 64 of 103)
1st Serve %
53% ( 53 of 100)
2
Aces
5
3
Double Faults
3
59% ( 38 of 64)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 34 of 53)
41% ( 16 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 21 of 47)
50% ( 5 of 10)
Break Points Won
45% ( 5 of 11)
48% ( 49 of 103)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 45 of 100)
99
Total Points Won
104
L
1-6 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
QF
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Casper Ruud
55% ( 47 of 86)
1st Serve %
71% ( 67 of 94)
5
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
0
72% ( 34 of 47)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 40 of 67)
38% ( 15 of 39)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
33% ( 5 of 15)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
43% ( 37 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 43 of 94)
92
Total Points Won
88
W
6-2 1-6 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Luca Nardi
63% ( 32 of 51)
1st Serve %
60% ( 40 of 67)
5
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
78% ( 25 of 32)
1st Serve Won
73% ( 29 of 40)
63% ( 12 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
27% ( 14 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 27 of 67)
64
Total Points Won
54
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Tommy Paul
Player
Ugo Humbert
66% ( 37 of 56)
1st Serve %
53% ( 31 of 59)
3
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
0
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 23 of 31)
47% ( 9 of 19)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
30% ( 17 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 25 of 59)
64
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H

Luca Nardi Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R2
cross
Holger Rune
Player
Luca Nardi
58% ( 39 of 67)
1st Serve %
47% ( 28 of 59)
1
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
3
79% ( 31 of 39)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 20 of 28)
61% ( 17 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 17 of 31)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 6)
28% ( 19 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 22 of 59)
70
Total Points Won
56
L
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Daniel Altmaier
66% ( 40 of 61)
1st Serve %
79% ( 42 of 53)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
1
75% ( 30 of 40)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 25 of 42)
38% ( 8 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 3 of 11)
100% ( 4 of 4)
Break Points Won
33% ( 2 of 6)
38% ( 23 of 61)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 25 of 53)
63
Total Points Won
51
W
6-4 6-4 H2H
R1
cross
Thiago Seyboth Wild
Player
Luca Nardi
67% ( 85 of 127)
1st Serve %
71% ( 72 of 101)
5
Aces
3
7
Double Faults
1
75% ( 64 of 85)
1st Serve Won
68% ( 49 of 72)
52% ( 22 of 42)
2nd Serve Won
69% ( 20 of 29)
50% ( 2 of 4)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
32% ( 41 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
32% ( 32 of 101)
118
Total Points Won
110
L
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(2) H2H
R1
cross
Felix Auger Aliassime
Player
Luca Nardi
55% ( 26 of 47)
1st Serve %
63% ( 34 of 54)
6
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
4
88% ( 23 of 26)
1st Serve Won
59% ( 20 of 34)
62% ( 13 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 11 of 20)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
23% ( 11 of 47)
Rtn Points Won
43% ( 23 of 54)
59
Total Points Won
42
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Alexandre Muller
67% ( 62 of 92)
1st Serve %
52% ( 59 of 114)
1
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
4
63% ( 39 of 62)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 37 of 59)
50% ( 15 of 30)
2nd Serve Won
49% ( 27 of 55)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
41% ( 38 of 92)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 50 of 114)
104
Total Points Won
102
W
3-6 6-4 6-4 H2H
Q1
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Lucas Pouille
61% ( 45 of 74)
1st Serve %
52% ( 28 of 54)
2
Aces
3
4
Double Faults
1
76% ( 34 of 45)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 20 of 28)
45% ( 13 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
54% ( 14 of 26)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
36% ( 27 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 20 of 54)
67
Total Points Won
61
W
6-4 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Pierre-Hugues Herbert
74% ( 78 of 106)
1st Serve %
58% ( 62 of 107)
2
Aces
7
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 43 of 62)
50% ( 14 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 21 of 45)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
40% ( 42 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 43 of 107)
107
Total Points Won
106
W
5-7 7-6(3) 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Francesco Passaro
65% ( 65 of 100)
1st Serve %
65% ( 51 of 79)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
1
68% ( 44 of 65)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
54% ( 19 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
22% ( 2 of 9)
37% ( 37 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 31 of 79)
94
Total Points Won
85
W
3-6 7-5 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Matteo Gigante
64% ( 51 of 80)
1st Serve %
59% ( 47 of 80)
0
Aces
3
3
Double Faults
6
65% ( 33 of 51)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 26 of 47)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 15 of 33)
67% ( 6 of 9)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
39% ( 31 of 80)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 39 of 80)
88
Total Points Won
72
W
4-6 6-4 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Luca Nardi
Player
Matteo Martineau
65% ( 41 of 63)
1st Serve %
57% ( 39 of 68)
1
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
80% ( 33 of 41)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 26 of 39)
55% ( 12 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
34% ( 10 of 29)
38% ( 3 of 8)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
29% ( 18 of 63)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 32 of 68)
77
Total Points Won
54
W
7-6(4) 6-1 H2H

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